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ONDOToncoin (GRAM) Price Prediction 2026, 2027 & 2030
Gram — the token known as Toncoin until last month — has the best distribution story in crypto and one of its worst charts. Telegram, with roughly 900 million monthly users, made The Open Network its exclusive blockchain in 2025, and in June 2026 the token took back its original 2018 name. Yet GRAM trades at $1.46, down 82% from its 2024 peak and still sliding while Bitcoin and Ethereum stabilize. The gap between that funnel and that chart is the entire investment question. Here is how we frame it for 2026, 2027 and 2030.
The 900-million-user funnel versus the post-airdrop hangover — updated July 20, 2026.
Toncoin Price Prediction at a Glance
| Year | Bear case | Base case | Bull case | Base-case ROI* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (year-end) | $1.00 | $1.75 | $2.30 | +20% |
| 2027 | $0.85 | $2.60 | $4.50 | +78% |
| 2030 | $0.70 | $4.50 | $9.50 | +208% |
*Implied return from the $1.46 price at the time of writing (July 20, 2026). GRAM trades on thin books — about $24M of daily volume against a ~$4B market cap — so any of these scenarios can be overshot violently in both directions.
How We Build These Forecasts
- Telegram funnel math. How many of Telegram’s ~900 million users actually touch the chain — wallet activations, mini-app sessions, Stars and ad settlement — and what each recurring active user has historically been worth in market-cap terms on comparable consumer chains.
- Retention over reach. Airdrop-inflated user counts collapsed after the 2024 tap-to-earn wave. We weight post-incentive activity (organic transactions, DeFi balances, repeat usage) far above headline user numbers.
- Cycle and drawdown math. GRAM is −82% from its high and −54% year-on-year while BTC sits −49% from its own peak. We model beta to a market-wide recovery, then haircut it for GRAM’s persistent relative weakness.
- Third-party cross-checks. We compare our ranges with published algorithmic models (see the forecast section below) and explain where and why we differ.
Where Gram Stands After the Rebrand
The Open Network began inside Telegram: the 2018 Gram whitepaper, a $1.7 billion token sale, and then a 2020 court fight with the US SEC that forced Telegram to walk away and refund investors. Community developers kept the chain alive under the name Toncoin, and the 2024 cycle briefly made it a top-ten asset — Notcoin, Hamster Kombat and the tap-to-earn wave pulled hundreds of millions of Telegram users on-chain and pushed the token to its $8.25 all-time high in June 2024. The hangover came fast. Airdrop farmers left once the tokens landed, daily active addresses fell off a cliff through late 2024 and 2025, and Pavel Durov’s August 2024 arrest in France demonstrated how quickly the Telegram premium turns into Telegram risk. A January 2025 deal made TON the exclusive chain for Telegram’s mini-app platform, but exclusivity repaired the narrative more than the activity. Then, on June 15, 2026 — after a governance vote that closed June 8 with 81.22% of participating voting power in favor, per BingX’s report of June 9, 2026 — the token was renamed Gram, a cosmetic 1:1 change requiring no swap, reclaiming the brand Telegram chose in 2018.
The recent tape is ugly relative to the market. Over the past month GRAM is down 7.2%, with the entire drop compressed into the last week (−10.0%), at a time when Bitcoin gained about 2%, Ethereum 10% and Solana 10%. One year ago it changed hands near $3.20; the resulting −54% twelve-month slide has pushed it out of the top 20 to rank #26. Liquidity is thin for an asset this size: roughly $24M of spot volume in 24 hours against a ~$3.98B market cap works out to about 0.6% daily turnover — a fraction of what comparable large-caps trade. Thin books cut both ways in a bull market; in a bear market they mostly mean downside gaps.
The honest summary is a standoff. Bulls own the funnel: a wallet baked into Telegram, in-app Stars payments, token-denominated ad revenue and mini-app exclusivity — no other chain gets its onboarding in front of 900 million people. Bears own the tape: activity metrics that never recovered from the airdrop unwind, supply concentrated in foundation and insider hands, and a price underperforming every major large-cap over the past month. Our base case treats the funnel as real but slow to monetize — worth a modest re-rating if the market recovers, not a return to 2024 multiples.
Key Chart Levels (as of July 20, 2026)
We treat these as zones where buying and selling behavior changed in the past, not as precise lines:
- Support — $1.38–$1.45. The floor buyers have defended through July’s slide. Losing it on volume turns an orderly grind lower into a flush.
- Major support — $1.10–$1.20. The psychological shelf roughly 20% below current price, where several published bearish models cluster for December 2026 and where sidelined buyers are more likely to step in.
- Resistance — $1.60–$1.65. Last week’s breakdown zone; the price sat near $1.62 seven days ago, and trapped longs will sell the retest. Reclaiming it is the minimum requirement for any trend-repair argument.
- Major resistance — $2.00–$2.20. The round number plus the early-June consolidation shelf. Above it, the chart structure flips from a sequence of lower highs to a genuine base.
GRAM trades below every meaningful trend average, and this week’s −10% arrived while the broader market rose — relative weakness is the dominant signal. While $1.40 holds, our base case is a wide, choppy base between roughly $1.40 and $1.80. A weekly close below $1.35 activates the bear column and puts $1.10 in play; only a sustained move through $1.65 would justify positioning ahead of the base case.
What Actually Moves GRAM: Fundamental Drivers
The Telegram funnel (the bull engine)
- A wallet inside Telegram and the custodial @wallet put a crypto balance one tap away from ~900 million users — onboarding no competitor can buy at any price.
- Since January 2025, TON has been the exclusive blockchain for Telegram’s mini-app platform; Stars in-app payments and channel ad revenue settle through the ecosystem.
- If even 2–3% of Telegram’s base becomes recurring on-chain users, that is a 20-million-user chain — larger than the active base of almost every rival L1.
The activity problem (the bear engine)
- The 2024 tap-to-earn wave (Notcoin, Hamster Kombat, Catizen) minted enormous user counts that evaporated once the airdrops paid out.
- DeFi TVL peaked well under $1 billion in mid-2024 — small next to Ethereum or Solana — and has given most of it back; sticky, non-incentivized apps remain scarce.
- USDT launched natively on TON in April 2024 and remains the chain’s most durable product — useful as a payments rail, but not a valuation engine.
Supply, float and concentration
- Only about half of the eventual supply trades today; large allocations sit with the TON Foundation, ecosystem funds, validators and early insiders — a persistent overhang.
- Telegram itself earns token-denominated ad revenue, which aligns the two parties but adds a second large treasury that can sell.
- The rebrand vote passing with 81.22% of participating power hints at how concentrated governance actually is.
- Staking pays a low-single-digit nominal yield — not enough to hold nervous capital through an 82% drawdown.
The rebrand — and what it signals
- Effective June 15, 2026, Toncoin became Gram — the name from Telegram’s 2018 whitepaper — with no swap, bridge or migration. Any site asking you to “convert” TON to GRAM is a scam.
- Rebrands executed 82% below an all-time high are narrative resets: they concede the old story stopped working.
- The open question for 2026–2027 is whether the new brand arrives with new monetization (payments, mini-app revenue) or is cosmetic only.
The Bear Case: Five Ways This Gets Worse
Objectivity means taking each of these seriously — none is a strawman:
- The decay is structural, not cyclical. The users who left after the airdrops were mercenaries. If organic activity keeps shrinking through a market recovery, GRAM de-rates from “L1 with a funnel” to “a logo inside someone else’s app.”
- Single-company dependence. Telegram can change terms, revoke exclusivity, or simply become the headline — Durov’s August 2024 arrest knocked double digits off the price in days. No other top-30 asset carries platform risk in exactly this form.
- Concentration meets thin liquidity. Foundation and insider supply hangs over a market trading about $24M a day. Any large distribution — grant recipients selling, validators exiting — hits a shallow book.
- Consumer-crypto competition. Solana and Base own Western retail mindshare for mini-apps, memes and payments; TON’s usage concentrates in Telegram’s strongest geographies, which monetize poorly in dollar terms.
- Regulatory echo. The SEC killed Telegram’s original Gram in 2020. A renewed fight over in-app crypto distribution — in the US or EU — would strike the core thesis directly rather than at the margin.
Bull and Bear Paths for 2026–2027
Bull path — $2.30 by end-2026, $4.50 in 2027
- The market recovery broadens: BTC holds above $60K and grinds higher, lifting all large-cap beta.
- One post-airdrop mini-app or game retains users past its incentive phase — proof the funnel can produce a durable hit.
- Telegram deepens monetization: wider ad settlement, Stars volume and payments visibly settling on-chain, confirmed in weekly active addresses.
- Spot volume re-expands above ~$100M a day, showing new buyers rather than a short squeeze.
Bear path — $1.00 by end-2026
- The $1.38–$1.45 floor breaks on volume and the 2026 lows get swept.
- Activity metrics keep sliding through Q3–Q4 despite the rebrand, confirming it was cosmetic.
- A Telegram-specific shock — legal, policy or a monetization reversal — hits the platform.
- Liquidity stays thin: a slow bleed on $20M volume days, with $0.85 the 2027 bear stop.
What Forecast Models Say About GRAM
Published forecasts for GRAM are unusually far apart — an honest picture of how little consensus this asset commands:
CoinCodex’s algorithmic model, updated July 19, 2026, projects GRAM at roughly $2.87 by end-2026 (about +98%) and $3.11 by 2030. That sits far above our base case. Technical models lean on mean reversion, and we believe this one underweights how severely TON’s on-chain activity has decayed since 2024.
CoinCodex · algorithmic/technical model · July 19, 2026
Traders Union’s forecast desk, published July 19, 2026, sees GRAM ending 2026 near $1.45 — essentially flat from here — and reaching only about $1.99 by the end of 2029. That lands between our bear and base cases and reflects the same retention concerns we weight heavily.
Traders Union · forecast desk · July 19, 2026
CoinGape’s technical model, dated July 18, 2026, maps a December 2026 range around $1.10–$1.23 — almost exactly our bear path. When two independent models cluster at the low end while one outlier projects a double, the distribution itself is the message: downside scenarios are the crowded trade.
CoinGape · algorithmic/technical model · July 18, 2026
Toncoin Price Prediction FAQ
Will GRAM reach $5 again?
Not in our 2026 scenarios — the bull case reaches only $2.30 this year because the token must first prove the post-airdrop activity decline has stopped. $5 becomes realistic on the 2027 bull path ($4.50) if Telegram monetization shows up in on-chain metrics, and it is our 2030 base case ($4.50). Retesting the $8.25 high would require a full market cycle plus evidence of retained users; our 2030 bull case ($9.50) assumes exactly that, and it is a scenario, not a promise.
How low can Gram go in 2026?
Our bear case is $1.00 by year-end, roughly 32% below today’s price, built from a break of the $1.38–$1.45 floor and continued activity decay. A deeper flush toward $0.85 belongs to the 2027 bear path rather than the 2026 planning assumption. With daily volume near $24M, gap risk is real: size any position as if $1.00 will trade, even if you believe the base case.
Is Toncoin the same as Gram?
Yes. On June 15, 2026, the token was renamed from Toncoin (TON) to Gram (GRAM) after a governance vote passed with 81.22% support, reclaiming the name from Telegram’s 2018 whitepaper. The change was cosmetic: no swap, bridge or migration, and balances and staking positions carried over 1:1. If a website asks you to “convert” or “migrate” TON into GRAM, it is a scam. The network itself is still called The Open Network (TON).
Does Telegram own or control Toncoin?
No — and the distinction matters. Telegram abandoned the project in 2020 after losing a court fight with the US SEC; the chain is run by community developers and the TON Foundation. But the commercial ties are deep: Telegram made TON its exclusive mini-app chain in 2025, earns token-denominated ad revenue and integrates the wallet. Treat GRAM as a bet on a partnership with one private company — not as equity in Telegram, which it is not.
Is GRAM a good investment in 2026?
It is a high-beta, story-driven asset in a bear market, carrying real funnel upside and real decay risk at the same time. Buying after an 82% drawdown offers better asymmetry than buying the 2024 hype did — but the token is still underperforming the market week over week, and that pattern usually resolves late rather than early. If you invest, assume $1.00 can trade first, size accordingly, and think in years. This is analysis, not personal advice.
What would make GRAM go back up?
Three observable things: first, weekly active addresses and transactions stabilizing and then rising without airdrop incentives; second, Telegram shipping monetization that settles on-chain — ads, Stars, payments — at visible scale; third, the price reclaiming $1.65 and then $2.20 on expanding volume. Until at least the first two appear, our framework treats rallies as bear-market bounces to sell into rather than trend changes to chase.
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This page is for informational and educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Price predictions are scenario estimates based on publicly available data as of July 20, 2026 — crypto assets are highly volatile and forecasts can be badly wrong. Always do your own research. Full disclaimer